{"id":1814,"date":"2026-04-20T18:54:03","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T18:54:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/?p=1814"},"modified":"2026-04-20T19:15:11","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T19:15:11","slug":"van-nan-trung-phat-kinh-te-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/van-nan-trung-phat-kinh-te-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u1ea5n N\u1ea1n Tr\u1eebng Ph\u1ea1t Kinh T\u1ebf Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Image by pavellllllll from pixabay.com<\/em><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Nh\u01b0 ch\u00fang ta bi\u1ebft, trong g\u1ea7n n\u1eeda th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 qua, Iran l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia g\u00e2y ra nhi\u1ec1u hi\u1ec3m h\u1ecda nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Iran v\u1edbi ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ea7n quy\u1ec1n, m\u1ed9t th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t, n\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u00e0 t\u00e0n \u00e1c. Iran c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i, v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia chuy\u00ean ch\u00ednh kh\u00e1c t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t li\u00ean minh m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7y th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c v\u00e0 \u0111e d\u1ecda nh\u1eefng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb T\u1ef1 do, D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7, Nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 Th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a C\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. \u0110\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u00e1nh c\u1ee7a Iran l\u00e0 Do Th\u00e1i v\u00e0 Hoa k\u1ef3, sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia T\u00e2y \u00c2u.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u r\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng lo ng\u1ea1i l\u00e0 khi Iran g\u1ea7n t\u1edbi m\u1ee9c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch s\u1edf h\u1eefu v\u0169 kh\u00ed nguy\u00ean t\u1eed. m\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 nguy hi\u1ec3m l\u1edbn h\u01a1n cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia khi Iran \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Nga v\u00e0 Trung c\u1ed9ng ch\u1ed1ng l\u01b0ng, y\u1ec3m tr\u1ee3 v\u00e0 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ee9.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n n\u1ea1n r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn, v\u00e0 m\u1ed1i hi\u1ec3m h\u1ecda th\u1ea5y tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft, v\u00ec t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p c\u1ee7a v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1.<\/p>\n

Cho t\u1edbi nay, Iran b\u1ecb Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc T\u00e2y \u00c2u, v\u00e0 c\u1ea3 Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t v\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c kinh t\u1ebf, ngo\u1ea1i giao, v\u00e0 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y Iran b\u1ecb th\u00eam s\u1ef1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Hoa k\u1ef3. \u00a0C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u00f3i Iran l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t n\u1eb7ng nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed bang giao qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. S\u1ef1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc cho Iran v\u00e0 cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c, b\u1edfi v\u00ec tham v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o qu\u1ed1c gia, v\u00e0 c\u0169ng v\u00ec b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 h\u00f2a h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a C\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 c\u00f3 qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng to l\u1edbn trong g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf v\u1edbi Iran, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i xin tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y di\u1ec5n ti\u1ebfn c\u00e1c l\u1ea7n tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 t\u1eeb qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf trong 45 n\u0103m qua.<\/p>\n

Kh\u00e1i Ni\u1ec7m Tr\u1eebng Ph\u1ea1t Kinh T\u1ebf<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

Tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf (Economic sanction) c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xem nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfn tranh kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5 m\u00e1u t\u1ee9c th\u1eddi, nh\u01b0ng h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u00f3 khi r\u1ea5t \u00e1c nghi\u1ec7t, \u0111\u1edbn \u0111au.<\/p>\n

M\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf l\u00e0 l\u00e0m cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t suy y\u1ebfu m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t b\u1ecb suy y\u1ebfu hay s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5. S\u1ef1 suy s\u1ee5p m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh s\u1ebd k\u00e9o theo s\u1ef1 suy s\u1ee5p v\u1ec1 ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb, v\u1ec1 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 v\u1ec1 bang giao qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf:<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Qua nh\u1eefng m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00e1c nhau t\u00f9y tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p. Qua c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng, t\u00f9y tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n

T\u0103ng thu\u1ebf quan (tariff) l\u00e0 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p nhanh v\u00e0 d\u1ec5.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea5m v\u1eadn mua b\u00e1n t\u1ed5ng qu\u00e1t hay m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a tr\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea5m v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ea1i n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t hay \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea5m v\u1eadn mua b\u00e1n v\u0169 kh\u00ed<\/p>\n

C\u1ea5m v\u1eadn trao \u0111\u1ed5i v\u00e0 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c khoa h\u1ecdc k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/p>\n

Phong t\u1ecfa m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u01a1 s\u1edf kinh t\u1ebf hay h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng tr\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t l\u00e0 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9, l\u00e0 ch\u00e1nh quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 vi ph\u1ea1m hay nguy hi\u1ec3m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u01a1n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u00f3m qu\u1ed1c gia, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Li\u00ean hi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c, hay T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf:<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

N\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t nh\u1eadn ch\u1ecbu h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i nhi\u1ec1u hay \u00edt t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t v\u00e0 s\u1ee9c l\u1ef1c ch\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1edf c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. N\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 li\u00ean h\u1ec7.<\/p>\n

H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 kinh t\u1ebf ch\u1eb3ng nh\u1eefng cho ch\u00e1nh quy\u1ec1n m\u00e0 cho c\u1ea3 m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n. V\u00ec khi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ecb suy s\u1ee5p th\u00ec m\u1ecdi ng\u00e0nh ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ecb s\u1ee5p theo, \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c b\u1ecb m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng, th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p t\u0103ng. H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 kinh t\u1ebf \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1edbi ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, t\u1edbi b\u1ed9 m\u00e1y qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng, v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i kh\u00e1c. T\u1ec7 h\u1ea1i nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 hay thay \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1ed9 m\u00e1y c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1eddi.<\/p>\n

Trong m\u1ea5y th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y Hoa k\u1ef3 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf Iran v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Sau \u0111\u00f3 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ngo\u1ea1i giao kh\u00f4ng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 trong n\u0103m 2025. V\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay, Iran phong t\u1ecfa eo bi\u1ec3n Hortmuz l\u00e0m gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng l\u00ean t\u1eeb $70 m\u1ed9t th\u00f9ng l\u00ean $110. Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u l\u00ean cao \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tai h\u1ea1i cho kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Hoa k\u1ef3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n n\u1eefa. Khi vi\u1ebft b\u00e0i n\u1ea7y th\u00ec Iran v\u00e0 Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u00f3 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn v\u00e0 hai b\u00ean th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 10 th\u00e1ng 4, 2026. Ch\u01b0a bi\u1ebft c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng. T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh r\u1ea5t ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p, v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia hay nh\u00f3m qu\u1ed1c gia thi h\u00e0nh l\u1ecbnh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf c\u0169ng b\u1ecb s\u1ee9t m\u1ebd \u00edt hay nhi\u1ec1u t\u00f9y kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng, s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u00e1nh ngh\u0129a c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t.<\/p>\n

T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng kh\u00e1 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft s\u1ef1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t l\u1edbn v\u1ec1 \u00fd th\u1ee9c h\u1ec7, v\u1ec1 x\u00e2m ph\u1ea1m kinh t\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, v\u1ec1 t\u00f4n gi\u00e1o, v\u1ec1 l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5, v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7ng t\u1ed9c.<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb sau th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn th\u1ee9 II, ch\u00fang ta v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nh\u1edb c\u00e1c tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u01b0: Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 T\u00e2y \u00c2u c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn Li\u00ean x\u00f4 do s\u1ef1 b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng CS. Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn CSVN sau 1975 do CSVN x\u00e2m l\u0103ng Campuchia 1978. Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t B\u1eafc H\u00e0n, do s\u1ef1 vi ph\u1ea1m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u0169 kh\u00ed nguy\u00ean t\u1eed. Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 T\u00e2y \u00c2u tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Nga, do Nga x\u00e2m l\u0103ng Ukraine. Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 T\u00e2u \u00c2u tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Trung c\u1ed9ng do TC x\u00e2m ph\u1ea1m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, vi ph\u1ea1m nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n \u1edf T\u00e2n c\u01b0\u01a1ng, v\u00e0 \u0111e d\u1ecda chi\u1ebfm \u0110\u00e0i Loan. V\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 nh\u1ea5t g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n nay l\u00e0 v\u1edbi Iran do Hoa k\u1ef3, T\u00e2y \u00c2u v\u00e0 c\u1ea3 H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3o an Li\u00ean hi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c, v\u00ec Iran theo \u0111u\u1ed5i ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh v\u0169 kh\u00ed nguy\u00ean t\u1eed, y\u1ec3m tr\u1ee3 kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1, v\u00e0 vi ph\u1ea1m nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u1ea7n tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t, nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf. V\u00e0 Iran l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t, sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 Nga, b\u1ecb ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i t\u1eeb Hoa k\u1ef3 T\u00e2y \u00c2u v\u00e0 Li\u00ean hi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c..<\/p>\n

Iran b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t t\u1eeb 1979 m\u00e3i cho t\u1edbi nay. S\u1ef1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 nh\u1ea5t, v\u00e0 t\u1eeb c\u01a1 quan qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf cho t\u1edbi Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 T\u00e2y \u00c2u. S\u1ef1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p t\u1eeb ngo\u1ea1i giao, kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, m\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf l\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

Trong t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1edbi to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u h\u00f3a, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan kinh t\u1ebf h\u1ed7 t\u01b0\u01a1ng nhau. Cho n\u00ean khi ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc, th\u00ec c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t. Qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ch\u1eadn c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia hay c\u00f4ng ty, c\u01a1 s\u1edf kinh t\u1ebf t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh c\u00f3 li\u00ean h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t. V\u00ec v\u1eady ng\u00e0y nay tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf c\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p v\u00e0 h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u00e0ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc kia.<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 vi\u00ean ch\u1ee9c c\u00f3 vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong c\u00e1c vi ph\u1ea1m, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i, nh\u01b0 b\u1ecb c\u1ea5m nh\u1eadp c\u01b0 v\u00e0o qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111i tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t hay c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n \u0111\u00f3 b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh.<\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean b\u00ecnh di\u1ec7n qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, c\u01a1 quan Li\u00ean hi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 khi \u0111\u01b0a ra bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia hay m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01a1p vi ph\u1ea1m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 an ninh, v\u1ec1 di\u1ec7t ch\u1ee7ng hay v\u1ec1 nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1m. \u00a0\u00a0<\/u><\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf:<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Trong kho\u1ea3ng 4 th\u1eadp ni\u00ean qua Hoa k\u1ef3, \u00c2u ch\u00e2u v\u00e0 Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c x\u1eed d\u1ee5ng nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 coi l\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng. C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ec3 r\u1ea5t t\u00f3m t\u1eaft:<\/p>\n

V\u1edbi Li\u00ean s\u00f4 b\u1ecb Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 c\u00f2n l\u00e0 S\u00f4 vi\u1ebft. V\u00e0 v\u1edbi Nga sau n\u1ea7y khi x\u00e2m chi\u1ebfm b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o Creamia, v\u00e0 x\u00e2m l\u1ea5n bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Ukraina, b\u1ecb Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u00c2u ch\u00e2u ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i.<\/p>\n

V\u1edbi B\u1eafc H\u00e0n, Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Hoa k\u1ef3 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t r\u1ea5t n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1, v\u00ec ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh nguy\u00ean t\u1eed c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc H\u00e0n. C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf, m\u1eadu d\u1ecbch, chuy\u1ec3n v\u1eadn, t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh.\u00a0 Kinh t\u1ebf B\u1eafc h\u00e0n g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 suy s\u1ee5p ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n

V\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf khi Vi\u1ec7t Nam x\u00e2m chi\u1ebfm Cambodia n\u0103m 1978. V\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf VNCS b\u1ecb ki\u1ec7t qu\u1ec7 t\u1eeb 1980 \u0111\u1ebfn 1986, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n do c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn n\u1ea7y. Nay kinh t\u1ebf VN ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u \u1edf xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ngo\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c, VN tr\u00f4ng nh\u1edd Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u00c2u ch\u00e2u. N\u1ebfu b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t t\u1eeb Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u00c2u ch\u00e2u th\u00ec kinh t\u1ebf VN suy s\u1ee5p kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1edf n\u1ed7i.<\/p>\n

V\u1edbi Trung qu\u1ed1c, g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y trong th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, Hoa k\u1ef3 ch\u1ec9 m\u1edbi d\u1ecda l\u00e0 hai n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 chi\u1ebfn tranh kinh t\u1ebf. Hai b\u00ean v\u1eeba k\u00fd Th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p giai \u0111\u1ecdan 1 v\u1edbi nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 hai b\u00ean v\u00e0 s\u1ebd th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn ti\u1ebfp c\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u00f2n d\u00f9ng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p kinh t\u1ebf v\u1edbi ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i XHCN Venezuala h\u1ed3i n\u0103m r\u1ed3i, v\u00ec s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e0n \u00e1p d\u00e2n ch\u00fang.<\/p>\n

V\u1edbi Iran, Hoa k\u1ef3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u1ea7y. T\u01b0\u01a1ng quan Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Iran r\u1ea5t ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t v\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia.<\/p>\n

Sau \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00f3m l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c v\u1ee5 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean hi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c, Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u00c2u ch\u00e2u v\u1edbi Iran v\u1ec1 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng di\u1ec7n kinh t\u1ebf, v\u1edbi l\u00fd do Iran vi ph\u1ea1m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 v\u0169 kh\u00ed nguy\u00ean t\u1eed, s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u h\u1ecfa ti\u1ec3n li\u00ean l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba, Iran y\u1ec3m tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1, \u0111e d\u1ecda nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc trong v\u00f9ng, v\u00e0 vi ph\u1ea1m nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n.<\/p>\n

Hoa K\u1ef3 Tr\u1eebng Ph\u1ea1t Kinh T\u1ebf Iran Trong Giai \u0110o\u1ea1n 1979-1995<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

C\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o Iran, t\u1eeb khi l\u00e0m cu\u1ed9c \u201cC\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng\u201d cho t\u1edbi nay l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia trong \u0111\u00f3 Hoa k\u1ef3 l\u00e0 ch\u00e1nh.<\/p>\n

Sau \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a Hoa k\u1ef3 trong qu\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ea7u, t\u1eeb 1979 \u0111\u1ebfn 1995. Trong qu\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian n\u1ea7y, Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u00f3 m\u1ea5y l\u1ea7n tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran:<\/p>\n

1979:<\/strong> Sau khi l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Qu\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 \u1edf Iran, ch\u00e1nh quy\u1ec1n m\u1edbi l\u00e0 C\u1ed9ng H\u00f2a H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o, m\u1ed9t ch\u00e1nh th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i th\u1ea7n quy\u1ec1n. Ch\u00e1nh quy\u1ec1n m\u1edbi xem Hoa k\u1ef3 l\u00e0 k\u1ebb th\u00f9, v\u00ec Hoa k\u1ef3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 ch\u00e1nh quy\u1ec1n c\u0169. Iran s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u00e2n ch\u00fang ch\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9. Nh\u00f3m sinh vi\u00ean hung hang t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng t\u00f2a \u0111\u1ea1i s\u1ee9 Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 b\u1eaft h\u1ebft 52 vi\u00ean ch\u1ee9c giam gi\u1eef. Hoa k\u1ef3 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf Iran qua s\u1eafc l\u1ecbnh s\u1ed1 12170 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1979.<\/p>\n

Hoa k\u1ef3 d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi TT Carter, \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn mua b\u00e1n v\u1edbi Iran v\u1ec1 d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda v\u00e0 trang thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda. Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u1ea5m ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ea1i Iran, v\u00e0 phong t\u1ecfa ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Iran t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng 12 t\u1ef7 m\u1ef9 kim Iran t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

Sau \u0111\u00f3, qua 1981 th\u00ec Iran th\u1ea3 c\u00e1c vi\u00ean ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 1987, th\u00ec Hoa k\u1ef3 l\u1ea1i t\u00e1i tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran v\u00ec n\u01b0\u1edbc H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o n\u1ea7y ng\u0103n ch\u1eadn t\u00e0u M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c \u1edf v\u1ecbnh Ba t\u01b0 v\u00e0 v\u00ec Iran \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Hoa k\u1ef3 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n. V\u00ec Iran y\u1ec3m tr\u1ee3 kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 gi\u1ebft h\u1ea1i 241 l\u00ednh M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i Lebannon. Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u1ea5m kh\u00f4ng mua h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1eeb Iran, c\u1ea5m b\u00e1n v\u0169 kh\u00ed cho Iran, c\u1ea5m y\u1ec3m tr\u1ee3 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt cho Iran. C\u1ea5m chuy\u1ec3n v\u1eadn h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Central Bank c\u1ee7a Iran t\u1ea1i Hoa k\u1ef3 b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa. L\u1ea7n n\u1ea7y Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p c\u1ea5m n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ee9 ba t\u00e1i xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a nh\u1eadp t\u1eeb Hoa k\u1ef3.<\/p>\n

N\u0103m 1995, Hoa k\u1ef3 l\u1ea1i c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn Iran v\u00ec qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng manh ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nguy\u00ean t\u1eed v\u00e0 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 cho c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 Hezbollah, Hamas, v\u00e0 Palestinian Islamic Jihad. TT Clinton ra nhi\u1ec1u s\u1eafc l\u1ecbnh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran. Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o k\u1ef9 ngh\u1ec7 d\u1ea7u l\u1eefa Iran, bu\u1ed9c c\u00f4ng ty d\u1ea7u Conoco h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1edbi Iran.<\/p>\n

Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf Tr\u1eebng Ph\u1ea1t Kinh T\u1ebf Iran V\u00ec V\u1ea5n \u0110\u1ec1 V\u0169 Kh\u00ed Nguy\u00ean T\u1eed <\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng r\u1ed9ng ra c\u00f3 t\u00e1nh c\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, g\u1ed3m Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c, Hoa k\u1ef3, T\u00e2y \u00c2u v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c. Nguy\u00ean do ch\u00e1nh l\u00e0 v\u00ec Iran ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nguy\u00ean t\u1eed vi ph\u1ea1m C\u00f4ng \u01b0\u1edbc qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 nguy\u00ean t\u1eed (IAEA), theo b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00c2u ch\u00e2u (Council of EU) ng\u00e0y 23\/01\/2012. V\u00e0 v\u00ec Iran l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u ch\u1ee7 m\u01b0u nguy hi\u1ec3m cho an ninh v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Iran l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1 v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf, c\u00f3 d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda h\u1ea1ng 5 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. L\u1ea1i l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i to\u00e0n tr\u1ecb, hung \u00e1c, v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hai n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i l\u1edbn l\u00e0 Nga v\u00e0 Trung c\u1ed9ng h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i t\u1eeb H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3o an (H\u0110BA) LHQ <\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

T\u1eeb n\u0103m 2001 Iran th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nguy\u00ean t\u1eed v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 y\u1ec3m tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a Nga. Iran n\u00f3i l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u00e2n s\u1ef1, nh\u01b0ng ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi l\u00e0m gi\u00e0u tinh ch\u1ea5t nguy\u00ean t\u1eed qu\u00e1 nhanh v\u00e0 l\u00e0m s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia lo ng\u1ea1i, nh\u1ee9t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch v\u1edbi Iran. M\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd y\u00eau c\u1ea7u LHQ c\u00f3 th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft theo lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 12\/2006 do Ngh\u1ecb quy\u1ebft s\u1ed1 1737, sau khi Iran kh\u00f4ng thi h\u00e0nh Ngh\u1ecb quy\u1ebft 1696 c\u1ee7a H\u0110BA y\u00eau c\u1ea7u Iran b\u1ecf ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh l\u00e0m gi\u00e0u nguy\u00ean t\u1eed, v\u00e0 nghi\u00eam ch\u1ec9nh thi h\u00e0nh nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc c\u01a1 quan nguy\u00ean t\u1eed qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf IAEA.<\/p>\n

H\u0110BA c\u1ea5m c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trang thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb v\u1ec1 nguy\u00ean t\u1eed cho Iran v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp nguy\u00ean t\u1eed v\u00e0 h\u1ecfa ti\u1ec3n li\u00ean l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba c\u1ee7a Iran.<\/p>\n

N\u0103m 2007 H\u0110BA l\u1ea1i c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh v\u00e0 t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng cho Iran.<\/p>\n

N\u0103m 2010, H\u0110BA c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn th\u00eam kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mua b\u00e1n v\u0169 kh\u00ed v\u1edbi Iran, v\u0169 kh\u00ed nguy\u00ean t\u1eed v\u00e0 h\u1ecfa ti\u1ec5n li\u00ean l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia theo sau H\u0110BA<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Sau c\u00e1c ngh\u1ecb quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a H\u0110BA, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c l\u1ecbnh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran:<\/p>\n

Trong \u0111\u00f3 ch\u00e1nh y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 Hoa k\u1ef3, Anh, Ph\u00e1p, \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf m\u00e0 H\u0110BA c\u00f3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00f3i tr\u00ean. S\u1ef1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t n\u1ea7y t\u1eeb 2006 \u0111\u1ebfn 2015. C\u00e1c tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t b\u1ecb ng\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i v\u00ec H\u0110BA v\u00e0 Iran k\u00fd Th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc nguy\u00ean t\u1eed Joint Comprehensive Plan Of Action (JCPOA) v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10\/2015.<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb Hoa k\u1ef3. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee3t hai v\u1ec1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran c\u1ee7a Hoa k\u1ef3.<\/p>\n

Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o ng\u00e0nh d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed, h\u00f3a ch\u1ea5t v\u00e0 mua b\u00e1n d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda v\u1edbi Iran. Phong t\u1ecfa ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ty b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m Iran.<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb n\u0103m 2011 Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u00c2u ch\u00e2u th\u00eam l\u00fd do tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran l\u00e0 v\u00ec Iran vi ph\u1ea1m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e1nh \u0111\u1eadp, b\u1eaft b\u1edb v\u00e0 t\u00e0n s\u00e1t nhi\u1ec1u d\u00e2n ch\u00fang bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f2i t\u1ef1 do d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7.<\/p>\n

D\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi TT Bush (con) v\u00e0 c\u1ea3 th\u1eddi TT Obama, Hoa k\u1ef3 si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t h\u01a1n tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran.<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb Anh, Ph\u00e1p l\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean ch\u00e1nh c\u1ee7a H\u0110BA th\u00eam \u0110\u1ee9c. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u1ea7y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Iran. EU ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran Q\u0110 423\/2007, c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn mua b\u00e1n d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Iran. N\u0103m 2010, EU t\u0103ng th\u00eam tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t v\u1ec1 c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m.<\/p>\n

Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c gia t\u0103ng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t. M\u1ea5y n\u0103m sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u1ecbnh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran t\u1ecf ra kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 Iran ng\u01b0ng ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh nguy\u00ean t\u1eed, H\u0110BA \u0111\u01b0a ra th\u00eam m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t LHQ v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia Hoa k\u1ef3, Anh, Ph\u00e1p, \u0110\u1ee9c<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Nhi\u1ec1u tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng, t\u1eeb LHQ, Hoa k\u1ef3, \u00c2u ch\u00e2u l\u00e0m kinh t\u1ebf Iran suy s\u1ee5p n\u1eb7ng. C\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh th\u1ea7m k\u00edn c\u1ee7a Iran thi\u1ebfu ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n. \u0110\u1eddi s\u1ed1ng d\u00e2n ch\u00fang kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n, d\u00e2n n\u1ed5i l\u00ean c\u00e0nh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u ch\u1ed1ng ch\u00e1nh quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i. T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh chung n\u1ea7y l\u00e0m Iran ph\u1ea3i xu\u1ed1ng n\u01b0\u1edbc, ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ea3o v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0a t\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 Th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p JCPOA th\u00e1ng 10\/2015.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u00fac thu\u1eadn ti\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u00c2u ch\u00e2u t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1edbi Iran. C\u00e1ch th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u1eb7t \u0111e d\u1ecda gia t\u0103ng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, m\u1ed9t m\u1eb7t chi\u00eau d\u1ee5 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1i l\u1ee3i kinh t\u1ebf cho Iran.<\/p>\n

H\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 do tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a LHQ v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia \u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Sau g\u1ea7n 10 n\u0103m b\u1ecb nhi\u1ec1u tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf t\u1eeb H\u0110BA, t\u1eeb Hoa k\u1ef3, Anh, Ph\u00e1p, v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ee9c, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Iran b\u1ecb suy s\u1ee5p n\u1eb7ng.<\/p>\n

S\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u Iran gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 2,5 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 1,5 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng. D\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng t\u1eeb 2,2 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y (2011) c\u00f2n 700.000 th\u00f9ng (2013). Iran b\u1ecb m\u1ea5t t\u1eeb $4-8 t\u1ef7\/n\u0103m gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb d\u1ea7u do b\u1ecb c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn, t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng b\u1ecb m\u1ea5t $26 t\u1ef7 trong n\u0103m 2012. (Ngu\u1ed3n tin: B\u1ed9 Ng\u00e2n kh\u1ed1 Hoa k\u1ef3).<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch gi\u1ea3m 50%. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00ean 40% (Theo b\u1ea3n tin BBC)<\/p>\n

L\u1ee3i t\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c gia Iran (GDP) 2013 b\u1ecb gi\u1ea3m th\u00eam 1.3% so v\u1edbi 2012 (World Bank)<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Hoa k\u1ef3, b\u1ecb thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i kho\u1ea3ng 175 t\u1ef7 do tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf Iran t\u1eeb 1995 \u0111\u1ebfn 2012, v\u00e0 m\u1ea5t kho\u1ea3ng 200.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m (National American Council). \u00a0\u0110\u1ee9c b\u1ecb thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i kho\u1ea3ng 23 t\u1ef7 trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1eeb 2010-2012.<\/p>\n

Hai th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ed1t c\u00e1n kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a H\u0110BA l\u00e0 Nga v\u00e0 Trung C\u1ed9ng, ch\u1eb3ng nh\u1eefng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n y\u1ec3m tr\u1ee3 v\u00e0 binh v\u1ef1c Iran.<\/p>\n

H\u1ed9i \u0110\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3o An K\u00fd Th\u1ecfa \u01af\u1edbc Nguy\u00ean T\u1eed V\u1edbi Iran\u00a0 <\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

Sau khi b\u1ecb nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t t\u1eeb LHQ v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia, kinh t\u1ebf Iran b\u1ecb suy s\u1ee5p n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1, Iran \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p v\u1edbi H\u0110BA v\u1ec1 ng\u01b0ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed nguy\u00ean t\u1eed. Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Joint Comprehensive Plan Of Action (JCPOA) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00e1nh th\u1ee9c k\u00fd th\u00e1ng 10\/2015. \u00a0Th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m, t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 h\u1ebft h\u1ea1n v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10-2025.<\/p>\n

N\u1ed9i dung ch\u00e1nh c\u1ee7a th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p JCPOA<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p v\u1ec1 nguy\u00ean t\u1eed Iran\u00a0 gi\u1eefa m\u1ed9t b\u00ean g\u1ed3m 6 qu\u1ed1c gia, l\u00e0 5 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ed1t y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3o an\u00a0 l\u00e0 Hoa k\u1ef3, Anh, Ph\u00e1p, Nga v\u00e0 Trung qu\u1ed1c, c\u1ed9ng th\u00eam \u0110\u1ee9c. Ph\u00eda b\u00ean kia l\u00e0 Iran.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00e1nh c\u1ee7a n\u1ed9i dung Th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc: <\/em><\/p>\n

Iran ch\u1ecbu t\u1eeb b\u1ecf ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh l\u00e0m gi\u00e0u uranium.<\/p>\n

Hoa k\u1ef3, \u00c2u ch\u00e2u v\u00e0 Li\u00ean hi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3i t\u1ecfa m\u1ecdi tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc 2015 cho Iran.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh nguy\u00ean t\u1eed Iran. Iran ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3i t\u1ecfa v\u00e0 b\u1ecf 95% uranium tinh ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef l\u1ea1i 5% \u0111\u1ec3 d\u00f9ng cho ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnhd\u00e2ns\u1ef1.<\/p>\n

Iran \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd cho c\u00e1c Thanh tra nguy\u00ean t\u1eed LHQ \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1eafp m\u1ecdi n\u01a1i s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nguy\u00ean t\u1eed \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra.<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, Iran c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mua v\u0169 kh\u00ed kh\u00e1c t\u1eeb sau 2020, n\u1ebfu Iran nghi\u00eam ch\u1ec9nh thi h\u00e0nh Th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p.<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, trong Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 n\u00f3i, n\u1ebfu c\u00f3 ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n Iran vi ph\u1ea1m, th\u00ec trong v\u00f2ng 24 ng\u00e0y sau, th\u00ec Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb b\u00e3i b\u1ecf, v\u00e0 s\u1ebd \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 T\u00e2y \u00c2u b\u1ecf c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn kinh t\u1ebf, gi\u1ea3i t\u1ecfa c\u00e1c th\u1ee9 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n g\u1ed3m b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh c\u1ee7a Iran \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa hay \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Cam k\u1ebft t\u1eeb ph\u00eda c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u00f3 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m: <\/em><\/p>\n

T\u00e0i s\u1ea3n Iran b\u1ecb ph\u1ecfng t\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kho\u1ea3ng $100 t\u1ef7 n\u1eb1m \u1edf Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e1o g\u1edfcho Iran.<\/p>\n

H\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 Th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p JCPOA cho Iran: \u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Nh\u1edd b\u1ecf c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn, Iran c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 giao d\u1ecbch ngo\u1ea1i th\u01b0\u01a1ng b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng. V\u00ec kinh t\u1ebf Iran ch\u00ednh y\u1ebfu s\u1ed1ng nh\u1edd xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda, khi b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, s\u1ed1 d\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Iran gi\u1ea3m 50%. M\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u l\u1edbn nh\u1ee9t l\u00e0 \u00c2u ch\u00e2u. Nay s\u1ed1 d\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u00f3 ph\u1ea7n gia t\u0103ng h\u01a1n. Iran c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng m\u00e1y m\u00f3c trang b\u1ecb t\u00e2n ti\u1ebfn cho k\u1ef9 ngh\u1ec7 d\u1ea7u h\u1ecfa. Khi b\u1ecf c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn d\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n, Iran c\u00f3 ti\u1ec1n nhi\u1ec1u b\u1ecf v\u00e0o ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh nguy\u00ean t\u1eed, v\u00e0 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n. Ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng t\u0103ng 30% t\u1eeb 2016-2019. (Ray Takeyh, 2020)<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ngo\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e0m \u0103n \u1edf Iran nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 t\u1eeb \u0110\u1ee9c Anh v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1p.<\/p>\n

Kinh t\u1ebf Iran ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ea1t 9% m\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 4-5% (World Bank)<\/p>\n

Iran thu l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed9 100 t\u1ef7 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1n b\u1ea1c b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m qua. Iran c\u00f2n nh\u1eadn l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 13 t\u1ea5n v\u00e0ng b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 $500 tri\u1ec7u m\u1ef9 kim.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ee9c c\u00f2n h\u1ee9a s\u1ebd vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p th\u1eddi cho Iran 6-7 t\u1ef7 m\u1ef9 kim. \u0110\u1ee9c xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng qua Iran t\u0103ng 33% sau 8 th\u00e1ng k\u00fd th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u00c2u ch\u00e2u nh\u1edd b\u1ecf tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty k\u1ef9 ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ebfn Iran ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng. Nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng ty Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u00c2u ch\u00e2u tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i ho\u1ea1t d\u1ed9ng \u1edf Iran.<\/p>\n

Th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean v\u1ebf Th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p JCPOA kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi h\u00e0nh\u00a0 <\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

H\u0110BA \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a c\u01a1 quan IAEA l\u00e0 Iran kh\u00f4ng t\u1eeb b\u1ecf h\u1eb3n l\u00e0m gi\u00e0u nguy\u00ean t\u1eed. Iran ch\u1ec9 d\u1ea5u di\u1ebfm v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n. Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Iran th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bom nguy\u00ean t\u1eed l\u00e0 th\u1ea5y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia k\u00fd th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p c\u0169ng nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t Iran kh\u00f4ng thi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u00fang \u0111\u1eafn, g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 Iran l\u1eeba d\u1ed1i sau khi nh\u1eadn l\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i th\u00ec v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n nguy\u00ean t\u1eed, v\u00e0 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, g\u00e2y lo s\u1ee3 cho nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia.<\/p>\n

N\u0103m 2018, TT Trump cho r\u1eb1ng Iran vi ph\u1ea1m JCPOA l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ng\u1eebng l\u00e0m gi\u00e0u nguy\u00ean t\u1eed. Di chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ea5u di\u1ebfm c\u00e1c n\u01a1i s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, kh\u00f4ng cho chuy\u00ean vi\u00ean IAEA ki\u1ec3m tra. Ngo\u00e0i ra, Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u00f2n t\u1ed1 c\u00e1o Iran s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u h\u1ecfa ti\u1ec5n li\u00ean l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba v\u00e0 t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 cho kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1. Do \u0111\u00f3 Hoa k\u1ef3 r\u00fat kh\u1ecfi JCPOA v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 20 th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2018. Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eed m\u1edbi l\u00e0 h\u1ecdp l\u1ea1i, x\u00e9t l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 k\u00fd th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc m\u1edbi h\u1ee3p l\u00fd, h\u1ee3p t\u00ecnh h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Anh, Ph\u00e1p, \u0110\u1ee9c c\u0169ng cho r\u1eb1ng Iran kh\u00f4ng thi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u00fang Th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc JCPOA, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u1ea7y kh\u00f4ng r\u00fat ra, m\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb x\u00e9t l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh.<\/p>\n

Nga v\u00e0 TC th\u00ec ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i cho r\u1eb1ng Iran th\u1ef1c thi \u0111\u00fang th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc JCPOA.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch H\u0110BA l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 Indonesia c\u00f3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh sau c\u00f9ng l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf JCPOA m\u00e0 n\u00ean c\u1ee9u x\u00e9t v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u00f4i. S\u1ef1 d\u1eb1ng co \u0111\u00f3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i cho t\u1edbi h\u1ebft th\u00e1ng 10\/2025 l\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u00f3t c\u1ee7a JCPOA.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0 m\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n m\u1edbi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u, v\u1edbi quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a Hoa k\u1ef3 l\u00e0 Iran kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1edf h\u1eefu v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n h\u1ecfa ti\u1ec3n t\u1ea7m xa, kh\u00f4ng y\u1ec3m tr\u1ee3 kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1, v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t vi ph\u1ea1m nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n trong n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Hoa K\u1ef3 T\u00e1i Tr\u1eebng Ph\u1ea1t Kinh T\u1ebf Iran Sau Khi R\u00fat Kh\u1ecfi Th\u1ecfa \u01af\u1edbc Nguy\u00ean T\u1eed <\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

Nguy\u00ean do Hoa k\u1ef3 t\u00e1i tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Sau khi r\u00fat ra kh\u1ecfi Th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc JCOPA v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5\/2018, v\u1edbi l\u00fd do n\u00f3i tr\u00ean, TT Trump quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n v\u1edbi Iran, bu\u1ed9c Iran ph\u1ea3i nghi\u00eam ch\u1ec9nh h\u01a1n v\u00e0 d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t b\u1ecf ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o bom nguy\u00ean t\u1eed. N\u0103m 2020, th\u00eam l\u00fd do Iran b\u1eafn r\u01a1i m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i c\u1ee7a Hoa k\u1ef3, v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 b\u1eafn c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 M\u1ef9 \u1edf Iraq, s\u1ef1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn. M\u1ed9t l\u00fd do kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 Iran tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 kh\u00f4ng t\u1eeb b\u1ecf ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh nguy\u00ean t\u1eed. Kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 do Iran y\u1ec3m tr\u1ee3 l\u1ea1i ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n, t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng Do Th\u00e1i nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n. Iran mu\u1ed1n ti\u00eau di\u1ec7t Do Th\u00e1i m\u00e0 Hoa k\u1ef3 th\u00ec cam k\u1ebft b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u1ea7y.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t sau khi ra JCPOA <\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 8\/2018 t\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2019.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p c\u00f3 hai th\u1eddi k\u1ef3: Th\u00e1ng 8\/2018 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 6\/2019<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng li\u00ean h\u1ec7 kinh t\u1ebf v\u1edbi Iran v\u1eeba l\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty M\u1ef9 m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 l\u00e0m \u0103n v\u1edbi Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Iran.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea5m nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1eeb Iran: d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda, kho\u00e1ng s\u1ea3n l\u00e0 ch\u00e1nh v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea5m b\u00e1n v\u0169 kh\u00ed v\u00e0 trang b\u1ecb cho an ninh v\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng<\/p>\n

C\u1ea5m xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng qua Iran m\u00e1y m\u00f3c trang b\u1ecb cho k\u1ef9 ngh\u1ec7 d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed<\/p>\n

C\u1ea5m ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch mua b\u00e1n dollar, v\u00e0ng b\u1ea1c v\u1edbi Iran.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea5m ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng chuy\u1ec3n v\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a Iran.<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u00f2n tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t th\u1eb3ng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n hay \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ebf Iran hay c\u1ea5u k\u1ebft v\u1edbi Iran b\u1eb1ng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p phong t\u1ecfa t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea5p visa v\u00e0o M\u1ef9. (\u00c1p d\u1ee5ng lu\u1eadt Global Magnitsky)<\/p>\n

Sau n\u1ea7y c\u1ea5m th\u00eam b\u00e1n cho Iran m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 thu\u1ed1c men v\u00e0 trang b\u1ecb y t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf sau khi Hoa k\u1ef3 r\u00fat ra JCPOA <\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Sau khi b\u1ecb Hoa k\u1ef3 t\u00e1i tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t k\u1ef3 n\u00e0y, kinh t\u1ebf Iran l\u1ea1i b\u1ecb gi\u1ea3m s\u1ee5t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Su\u1ea5t s\u1ed1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf: \u00a0T\u1eeb 12.3% n\u0103m 2015, n\u0103m sau c\u00f3 Th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc nguy\u00ean t\u1eed 2015, gi\u1ea3m 3% n\u0103m 2018, -9% n\u0103m2019. (B\u1ea3n tin t\u1eeb B\u1ed9 Ng\u00e2n kh\u1ed1 Hoa k\u1ef3)<\/p>\n

G\u00ed\u00e1 c\u1ea3 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc gia t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, nh\u1ee9t l\u00e0 th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m, thu\u1ed1c men, x\u0103ng (t\u0103ng t\u1eeb 30-50%)<\/p>\n

Th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p l\u00ean t\u1eeb 14.5% n\u0103m 2018 l\u00ean 16.8% n\u0103m 2019. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng l\u00ean t\u1eeb 9% n\u0103m 2017 l\u00ean 30.5% n\u0103m 2018 (theo IMF). \u0110\u1ed3ng rial c\u1ee7a Iran b\u1ecb m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 50% sau hai n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

Xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng d\u1ea7u, tr\u01b0\u1edbc 2018 Iran xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng 64 t\u1ef7 \/n\u0103m. S\u1ed1 n\u1ea7y b\u1ecb gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh, n\u0103m 2018 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n 2,4 – 2,6 t\u1ef7 m\u00e0 d\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng chi\u1ebfm 2\/3 tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 t\u1ed5ng xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Iran.<\/p>\n

H\u00e3ng Boeing v\u00e0 Airbus h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf h\u01a1p \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u00e1n m\u00e1y bay cho Iran.<\/p>\n

C\u00f4ng ty d\u1ea7u Total c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p b\u1ecf d\u1ef1 \u00e1n khai th\u00e1c \u1edf v\u00f9ng South Pars. H\u00e3ng xe h\u01a1i Renault h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng li\u00ean doanh v\u1edbi Iran.<\/p>\n

M\u1ef9 c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf Iran \u0111\u01b0a t\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 Nga v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c (TQ) c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 giao th\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n v\u1edbi Iran.<\/p>\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c mua d\u1ea7u Iran nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n m\u00e0 t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1edbi nay TQ l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Iran. \u00a0TQ c\u00f3 credit line cho Iran 10 t\u1ef7 \u1edf ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n m\u1edbi. TQ c\u00f2n b\u1ecf ti\u1ec1n x\u00e2y h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf cho Iran trong k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch \u201cBelt & Road\u201d.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Hoa k\u1ef3 th\u00ec d\u0129 nhi\u00ean h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ecd v\u00e0o l\u1ea1i Iran, n\u01a1i h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 kinh doanh khai th\u00e1c t\u1eeb l\u00e2u.<\/p>\n

Hoa k\u1ef3 gia t\u0103ng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran t\u1eeb 2020<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

L\u00fd do Hoa k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng th\u00eam tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t<\/em><\/p>\n

M\u00e2u thu\u1ea9n gi\u1eefa Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Iran c\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi Iran c\u00f3 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 do H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o th\u1ed1ng l\u1ea3nh. C\u00e1c l\u00fd do m\u00e0 Hoa k\u1ef3 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf th\u00eam:<\/p>\n

Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n g\u1ea7n nh\u1ee9t l\u00e0 Iran c\u00f3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng coi nh\u01b0 g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n hay t\u1ef1 v\u1ec7 l\u00e0 b\u1eafn r\u01a1i m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong n\u0103m qua. G\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 sau v\u1ee5 Hoa k\u1ef3 gi\u1ebft t\u01b0\u1edbng Soleimani, v\u1ecb t\u01b0\u1edbng s\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t c\u1ee7a Iran v\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1i k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch gia cho c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 (theo t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o M\u1ef9). Iran tr\u1ea3 th\u00f9 b\u1eafn h\u1ecfa ti\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ebfn c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 Hoa k\u1ef3 \u1edf Irak (ng\u00e0y 7 th\u00e1ng gi\u00eang- 2020.).<\/p>\n

Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n xa m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat l\u00e0 Iran kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 ng\u01b0ng ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh nguy\u00ean t\u1eed, ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh, v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o k\u00ea c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 hay l\u1ef1c l\u1ef1\u01a1ng ph\u1ea3n lo\u1ea1n trong v\u00f9ng ch\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 T\u00e2y ph\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ea1i nhi\u1ec1u n\u01a1i nh\u01b0 Syria, Irak, Afganistan, Lebannon, Yemen.<\/p>\n

Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n s\u00e2u xa h\u01a1n n\u1eefa l\u00e0 Hoa k\u1ef3 ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng \u1edf Trung \u0111\u00f4ng (m\u1eb7c d\u1ea7u TT Trump n\u00f3i Hoa k\u1ef3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng quy\u1ec1n l\u1ee3i quan tr\u1ecdng \u1edf v\u00f9ng n\u1ea7y), v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 hai \u0111\u1ed3ng minh quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0 Israel v\u00e0 \u00c1 r\u1eadp Saudi, hai n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u1ea7y l\u00e0 k\u1ebb th\u00f9 c\u1ee7a Iran.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 ch\u01b0a k\u1ec3 c\u0103n nguy\u00ean s\u00e2u xa h\u01a1n l\u00e0 th\u00f9 ngh\u1ecbch v\u1ec1 s\u1eafc t\u1ed9c v\u00e0 t\u00f4n gi\u00e1o.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0 l\u00fd do th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 Hoa k\u1ef3 th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a TT Trump c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 hy v\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u1ea7y l\u00e0m cho Iran ph\u1ea3i ng\u1ed3i l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc m\u1edbi trong \u0111\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 ba \u0111i\u1ec3m: kh\u00f4ng \u0111eo \u0111u\u1ed5i nguy\u00ean t\u1eed, kh\u00f4ng th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m h\u1ecfa ti\u1ec5n, kh\u00f4ng y\u1ec3m tr\u1ee3 kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1. TT n\u00e0o l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111i v\u00e0o l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t th\u00eam:<\/em><\/p>\n

Trong tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ng\u00e0y 8 th\u00e1ng gi\u00eang 2020, TT Trump n\u00f3i \u201cIran is standing down but I am gonna punish it more\u201d (Iran \u0111ang b\u1ecb suy s\u1ee5p, nh\u01b0ng t\u00f4i s\u1ebd tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n n\u1eefa)<\/p>\n

Th\u1ef1c v\u1eady, c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i Hoa k\u1ef3 l\u00ean Iran, sau khi r\u00fat ra kh\u1ecfi Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc nguy\u00ean t\u1eed JCPOA, l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd. Danh s\u00e1ch c\u00f3 t\u1edbi 1000 m\u1ee5c b\u1ecb ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i. Nay th\u00eam kho\u1ea3ng 700 m\u1ee5c n\u1eefa. (theo b\u00e1o Los Angeles Times, ng\u00e0y 11 th\u00e1ng gi\u00eang, 2020).<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i t\u0103ng th\u00eam ch\u00e1nh y\u1ebfu l\u00e0:<\/p>\n

K\u1ef9 ngh\u1ec7 h\u1ea7m m\u1ecf, s\u1eaft th\u00e9p, v\u00e0ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng. C\u1ea5m nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng, tr\u1ee3 gi\u00fap k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, chuy\u1ec3n v\u1eadn<\/p>\n

T\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh, ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng, L\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 r\u1ed3i nay th\u00eam m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n

K\u1ef3 n\u1ea7y ch\u00fa tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng ty v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n trong \u0111\u00f3 Trung qu\u1ed1c<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i 17 vi\u00ean ch\u1ee9c cao c\u1ea5p \u0111\u00e3 ra l\u1ecbnh b\u1eafn h\u1ecfa ti\u1ec5n v\u00e0o c\u0103n c\u1ee9 Hoa k\u1ef3, ho\u1eb7c ra l\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00e0n \u00e1p d\u00e2n bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh. Trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1c t\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00e3nh nh\u01b0 Ali Shamkhani, B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia, Mahamed Reza Ashtani, T\u1ed5ng Tham m\u01b0u ph\u00f3 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n

Trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 TT Biden, th\u00ec m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u1edbn tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c. Iran v\u1eabn ngang nhi\u00ean ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ecbnh. H\u01a1n th\u1ebf n\u1eefa, do chi\u1ebfn tranh Ukraine, v\u00e0 qua chi\u1ebfn tranh m\u1eadu d\u1ecbch M\u1ef9 – Trung, Li\u00ean minh Nga – Trung – Iran c\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ch\u1eb7c ch\u1ebd h\u01a1n, m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda t\u1eeb Iran v\u1edbi Do Th\u00e1i, Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia \u00c2u ch\u00e2u, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng Trung \u0111\u00f4ng c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n, ch\u1ee7 d\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n v\u00e0 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda LHQ, \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft vi\u1ec7c Iran kh\u00f4ng thi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u00fang \u0111\u1eafn th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc JCPOA, v\u00e0 th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc s\u1eafp h\u1ebft h\u1ea1n, H\u0110BA ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ed1 2231 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ee9u x\u00e9t l\u1ea1i JCPOA, theo \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Anh, Ph\u00e1p, \u0110\u1ee9c, nh\u01b0ng b\u1ecb Nga v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

Hoa K\u1ef3 Tr\u1eebng Ph\u1ea1t Kinh T\u1ebf Iran \u0110\u1ee3t M\u1edbi Nh\u1ea5t (t\u1eeb 2025<\/strong>)<\/span><\/h3>\n

Nguy\u00ean do v\u00e0 m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch Hoa k\u1ef3 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o nguy\u00ean t\u1eed s\u1eafp th\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c, v\u00e0 Iran v\u1eabn nu\u00f4i \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00e1nh ph\u00e1 ti\u00eau di\u1ec7t Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 T\u00e2y \u00c2u. Iran ch\u1ee7 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb t\u00f4n gi\u00e1o.<\/p>\n

Iran gia t\u0103ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u00ean l\u1eeda v\u00e0 m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i.<\/p>\n

Iran n\u1eafm gi\u1eef ngu\u1ed3n d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda quan tr\u1ecdng m\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn b\u00e1n cho TQ<\/p>\n

Iran \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 ch\u1ed1ng Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 T\u00e2y ph\u01b0\u01a1ng, v\u00e0 Do Th\u00e1i<\/p>\n

Iran \u0111\u00e0n \u00e1p t\u00e0n nh\u1eabn d\u00e2n ch\u00fang \u0111\u00f2i t\u1ef1 do, d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n<\/p>\n

Iran s\u00e1t c\u00e1nh v\u1edbi Nga v\u00e0 TQ, h\u01a1p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi hai c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i trong m\u01b0u \u0111\u1ed3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a Hoa k\u1ef3 l\u00e0: Iran kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 s\u1edf h\u1eefu v\u0169 kh\u00ed nguy\u00ean t\u1eed. Iran kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u t\u00ean l\u1eeda lo\u1ea1i m\u1ea1nh. Iran kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nu\u00f4i d\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. Iran ph\u1ea3i t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n trong n\u01b0\u1edbc. M\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch chung cu\u1ed9c l\u00e0 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ea7n quy\u1ec1n hi\u1ec7n nay ph\u1ea3i b\u1ecb thay th\u1ebf b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 t\u1ef1 do, d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7. Nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf m\u1edbi hy v\u1ecdng c\u00f3 h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh l\u00e2u d\u00e0i \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt xung \u0111\u1ed9t l\u1edbn v\u00e0 t\u00e0n nh\u1eabn s\u00e1t ph\u1ea1t nhau.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi c\u1ee7a Hoa k\u1ef3 trong s\u1ef1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1edbi Iran k\u1ef3 n\u1ea7y r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn v\u00e0 quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp, kh\u00f4ng n\u00f3i ra nh\u01b0ng ai c\u0169ng bi\u1ebft, l\u00e0 h\u1ea1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Iran l\u00e0 gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp h\u1ea1 gi\u1ea3m s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 hung h\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a TQ, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Hoa k\u1ef3.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y:<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

C\u00e1ch t\u1ed5ng qu\u00e1t, c\u00f3 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp th\u00ec c\u0169ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n, quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t h\u01a1n. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn mua b\u00e1n nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda, trang thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb cho khai th\u00e1c d\u1ea7u. M\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch l\u00e0 tri\u1ec7t h\u1ea1 ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb d\u1ea7u. Trong c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn mua d\u1ea7u Iran l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y Hoa k\u1ef3 ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc mua d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Iran, nh\u1ee9t l\u00e0 hai n\u01b0\u1edbc TQ v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0111\u1ed9 mua ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Iran. C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc mua d\u1ea7u Iran b\u1ecb Hoa k\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e1nh th\u00eam thu\u1ebf quan tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t (tariff).<\/p>\n

Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c phong t\u1ecfa t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Iran.<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c kh\u00f4ng cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty Hoa k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u1edf Iran hay c\u00f3 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u1edbi Iran, nh\u1ee9t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a Iran.<\/p>\n

Hoa k\u1ef3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n vi\u00ean ch\u1ee9c Iran, kh\u00f4ng cho v\u00e0o M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 phong t\u1ecfa t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n (Lu\u1eadt Magnitsky).<\/p>\n

T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh c\u00e0ng c\u0103ng h\u01a1n khi TT Trump t\u00e1i \u0111\u1eafc c\u1eed n\u0103m 2025. S\u1ef1 sung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1edbi Iran ch\u1eb3ng nh\u1eefng ch\u01b0a gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft m\u00e0 c\u00f2n n\u1eb7ng h\u01a1n, nh\u1ee9t l\u00e0 khi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00e0m bom nguy\u00ean t\u1eed c\u1ee7a Iran ti\u1ebfn s\u00e1t t\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3. TT Trump v\u00e0 Do th\u00e1i th\u1ea5y kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea7n ch\u1edd. Th\u1eddi gian l\u00e0 m\u1ed1i nguy hi\u1ec3m cho hai n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

Hoa k\u1ef3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng tri\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ec3 h\u01a1n c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t th\u00eam tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan mua b\u00e1n l\u00e0m \u0103n hay li\u00ean minh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u1edbi Iran.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p kinh t\u1ebf d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 t\u1ecf ra kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 khu\u1ea5t ph\u1ee5c Iran, n\u00ean Hoa k\u1ef3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Hoa k\u1ef3 trong l\u00fac n\u00e0y v\u1eabn c\u00f2n mu\u1ed1n x\u1eed d\u1ee5ng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ngo\u1ea1i giao. N\u1ebfu c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn l\u00e0 t\u1ed1t nh\u1ee9t cho m\u1ecdi b\u00ean v\u00e0 cho c\u1ea3 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh v\u1eabn d\u1eb1ng co. Hoa k\u1ef3 d\u00f9ng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nguy\u00ean t\u1eed. Sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c Hoa k\u1ef3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 d\u00e2n ch\u00fang Iran n\u1ed5i d\u1eady.<\/p>\n

Iran v\u1eabn t\u1ecf ra c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn. H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb hai b\u00ean l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i. Hoa k\u1ef3 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng th\u00eam. Iran phong t\u1ecfa eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, \u0111\u00f2i l\u1ed9 ph\u00ed 2 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 m\u1ed7i t\u00e0u d\u1ea7u \u0111i qua. Hoa k\u1ef3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i t\u1ecfa cho m\u1ecdi t\u00e0u d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a m\u1ecdi qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c qua l\u1ea1i t\u1ef1 do theo lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf qui \u0111\u1ecbnh, v\u00e0 l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n n\u1ea1n l\u1edbn cho kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Iran y\u1ebfu th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ebfn b\u00e0n h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb. Bu\u1ed5i h\u1ed9i t\u1ea1i Pakistan, nh\u01b0ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i ngay ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00ec s\u1ef1 qu\u00e1 c\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t v\u1ec1 y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a hai b\u00ean. Khi t\u00f4i vi\u1ebft b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u1ea7y th\u00ec hai b\u00ean n\u00f3i s\u1ebd h\u1ecdp l\u1ea1i. Ch\u1edd xem. M\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi hy v\u1ecdng l\u1ea7n n\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda LHQ, th\u00ec H\u0110BA ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ng\u00e0y 14\/8\/2020 t\u0103ng th\u00eam tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn mua b\u00e1n v\u0169 kh\u00ed, Anh, Ph\u00e1p, \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd, nh\u01b0ng Nga v\u00e0 TQ ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

H\u1eadu Qu\u1ea3 V\u00e0 H\u1ec7 L\u1ee5y S\u1ef1 Tr\u1eebng Ph\u1ea1t Kinh T\u1ebf Iran <\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Qua s\u1ef1 t\u00f3m l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ea5n n\u1ea1n tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf Iran tr\u00ean \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u00f3i \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t, l\u00e2u d\u00e0i nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

V\u00ec v\u1eady s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn nhi\u1ec1u b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc quan tr\u1ecdng, ch\u1eb3ng nh\u1eefng v\u1ec1 c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn kinh t\u1ebf, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, \u0111\u1ebfn bang giao qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, s\u1ef1 sinh t\u1ed3n d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c v\u00e0 s\u1ef1\u00a0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u01b0a ch\u1ea5m h\u1ebft khi t\u00f4i vi\u1ebft xong b\u00e0i n\u00e0y. Nh\u01b0ng nh\u1eefng d\u1eef ki\u1ec7n x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0 h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i suy ngh\u0129 v\u00e0 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi.<\/p>\n

H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 H\u1ec7 l\u1ee5y v\u1edbi Iran v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ed3ng minh <\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Iran l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf n\u00e0y, cho n\u00ean h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 ch\u00e1nh y\u1ebfu x\u1ea3y \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1edbi qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 cho Iran:<\/em> V\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf, suy s\u1ee5p t\u1eeb 30%-50%. Trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y d\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng b\u1ecb gi\u1ea3m s\u1ee5t nhi\u1ec1u. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u thi\u1ebfu ph\u1ee5 t\u00f9ng thay th\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb s\u1ef1 suy s\u1ee5p kinh t\u1ebf, \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c b\u1ecb m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00ean r\u1ea5t cao ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng th\u1ea5y. \u0110\u1eddi s\u1ed1ng d\u00e2n ch\u00fang g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n. Thi\u1ebfu th\u1ed1n nhu y\u1ebfu ph\u1ea9m v\u00e0 thu\u1ed1c men.<\/p>\n

Nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 s\u1edf, c\u1ea7u c\u1ed1ng b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 n\u00e1t, m\u1ed9t t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, d\u00e2n ch\u00fang c\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i, ch\u1ed1ng ch\u00e1nh quy\u1ec1n. H\u00e0ng tr\u0103m ng\u00e0n d\u00e2n b\u1ecb b\u1eaft, h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee5c ng\u00e0n b\u1ecb qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i b\u1eafn gi\u1ebft. C\u1ea3nh tang th\u01b0\u01a1ng bi\u1ec3u hi\u1ec7n cho m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 b\u1ed9 m\u1eb7t ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i chuy\u00ean ch\u00ednh.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3 n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 ch\u00e1nh quy\u1ec1n Iran l\u1ee7ng c\u1ee7ng v\u00e0 m\u1ea5t tinh th\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, \u0111\u1ed3ng minh Nga v\u00e0 TQ kh\u00f4ng h\u1ed5 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, v\u00ec Nga \u0111ang k\u1eb9t v\u00e0 suy y\u1ebfu do chi\u1ebfn tranh Ukraine. TQ th\u00ec c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng gi\u00fap \u0111\u00fang m\u1ee9c v\u00ec kinh t\u1ebf TQ hi\u1ec7n suy gi\u1ea3m, v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n kh\u00e1c tr\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u1ed3ng minh kh\u00f4ng h\u1ebft m\u00ecnh v\u1edbi Iran m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n v\u00ec Iran c\u00f3 qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u sai ph\u1ea1m, t\u1eeb trong n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1edbi qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. Iran x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tr\u00ean ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i qu\u00e1i l\u1ea1.\u00a0 Ch\u1ee7 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng g\u00e2y h\u1eadn th\u00f9 s\u1eafc t\u1ed9c, h\u1eadn th\u00f9 t\u00f4n gi\u00e1o, \u0111\u00e1nh m\u1ea5t t\u00ecnh ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u1ea1o h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh chung cho c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Cho t\u1edbi nay, s\u1ef1 ch\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1edf c\u1ee7a Iran v\u1edbi c\u00e1c tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t t\u1ecf ra t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng y\u1ebfu s\u1ee9c. S\u1ef1 suy s\u1ee5p c\u1ee7a Iran hi\u1ec7n th\u1ea5y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. \u00a0Th\u1ebf v\u00e0 l\u1ef1c trong n\u01b0\u1edbc suy s\u1ee5p. Th\u1ebf v\u00e0 l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng kh\u00e1. V\u00ec v\u1eady khi \u0111\u1ebfn H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb \u0111\u00ecnh chi\u1ebfn, Iran \u00edt c\u00f3 l\u00e1 b\u00e0i \u0111\u1ec3 th\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ea3o, \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 gi\u00e1. D\u00f9 h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb h\u00f2a \u0111\u00e0m c\u00f3 tr\u1ee5c tr\u1eb7c. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p t\u1ed1t nh\u1ee9t cho Iran.<\/p>\n

H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 H\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 v\u1edbi Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ed3ng minh <\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u1edbi vai tr\u00f2 ch\u00e1nh y\u1ebfu, ph\u1ea3i d\u00f9ng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111e d\u1ecda, v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 tri\u1ec7t h\u1ea1 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 gan l\u00ec, v\u00e0 c\u00f3 s\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec1 kh\u00e1ng m\u1ea1nh. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n v\u1ec1 ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u1eb7t. Nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u1ea7y l\u00e0m cho m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran kh\u00f4ng nhanh nh\u01b0 Hoa k\u1ef3 mu\u1ed1n. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, d\u00f9 r\u1ea5t y\u1ebfu so v\u1edbi Hoa k\u1ef3, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft ch\u1eb9t, g\u00e2y kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n cho Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng minh Hoa k\u1ef3. v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf nh\u01b0 d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda, v\u1ec1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a d\u00e2n ch\u00fang th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 M\u1ef9, l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 chi\u1ebfn tranh, nh\u1ee9t l\u00e0 th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn th\u1ee9 ba.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf, Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng minh d\u0129 nhi\u00ean ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n khi tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Iran hay b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o. Ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch chi nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n. Xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 gi\u1ea3m. C\u00f4ng \u0103n vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m. v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb, c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd ki\u1ebfn nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n, s\u1ef1 ch\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1i trong \u0111\u1ea3ng ph\u00e1i ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed gi\u1eefa k\u1ef3 s\u1eafp t\u1edbi c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb Hoa k\u1ef3. \u0110\u1ed3ng minh Hoa k\u1ef3 b\u1ecb s\u1ee9t m\u1ebb, m\u1ed9t kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n chung cho s\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u1ea1o m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi m\u1edbi t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1eb9p v\u00e0 b\u00ecnh an.<\/p>\n

H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 H\u1ec7 l\u1ee5y \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi LHQ v\u00e0 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi <\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

N\u00f3i chung, hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng Iran n\u00f3i ri\u00eang v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 x\u00e1o tr\u1ed9n m\u00e3nh li\u1ec7t tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed1i lo ng\u1ea1i cho m\u1ecdi qu\u1ed1c gia, m\u1ecdi d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c. Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd \u0111i v\u1ec1 \u0111\u00e2u, trong khi con ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e0nh qu\u1ea3 t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1eb9p v\u1ec1 khoa h\u1ecdc k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, th\u00ec con ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u1ea1i, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u l\u00e3nh t\u1ee5 qu\u1ed1c gia d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i xu th\u1ebf ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9. N\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng k\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00f2ng tham lam, s\u1ef1 t\u00e0n \u00e1c, v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng m\u01b0u \u0111\u1ed3 kh\u00f4ng ch\u00e1nh \u0111\u00e1ng. Nhi\u1ec1u h\u1ee7y di\u1ec7t, nh\u1eefng thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh \u0111\u00e1ng v\u1eabn th\u01b0\u1eddng x\u1ea3y ra \u1edf m\u1ed9t n\u01a1i n\u00e0y hay n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c tr\u00ean qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ea5t n\u1ea7y. T\u1ea1i sao?<\/p>\n

Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ef1 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf Iran \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, v\u00e0 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0 l\u1ea7n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng.<\/p>\n

C\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 d\u00f9 Iran suy s\u1ee5p m\u1ea1nh hay ch\u1ecbu thua l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y th\u00ec v\u00f9ng Trung \u0111\u00f4ng s\u1ebd h\u1ebft m\u00e1u l\u1eeda v\u00e0 \u0111au th\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t ch\u00fat li\u00ean t\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn Vi\u1ec7t Nam<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

Khi vi\u1ebft b\u00e0i n\u00e0y, t\u00f4i v\u1eabn ngh\u0129 t\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam. M\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i to\u00e0n tr\u1ecb, d\u00f9 c\u0103n b\u1ea3n v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n g\u1ed1c c\u00f3 kh\u00e1c Iran. Nh\u01b0ng b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc, c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1eed v\u1edbi d\u00e2n ch\u00fang, c\u00e1ch giao d\u1ecbch qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec1u, nhi\u1ec1u s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n l\u1edbn gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 Iran d\u01b0\u1edbi ch\u1ebf d\u1ed9 C\u1ed9ng H\u00f2a H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o. D\u00f9 c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u1edf hai n\u01b0\u1edbc, c\u0169ng \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1, nh\u00e2n danh c\u00e1i g\u00ec, tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 v\u00e0 ban b\u1ed1 lo\u1ea1i hy v\u1ecdng n\u00e0o cho d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c, ng\u00e0y nay, nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 l\u1eeba d\u1ed1i. Ch\u00e1nh y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 \u1ea3o \u1ea3nh h\u1ea1nh ph\u00fac, l\u00e0 ng\u1ee5y t\u1ea1o d\u00e3 t\u00e2m v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ee9c ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb. Li\u1ec7u v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u1ea7y c\u00f3 tan bi\u1ebfn, suy gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4ng?<\/p>\n

Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf VN c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n b\u1ecb Hoa k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t h\u1ed3i 1979 do vi\u1ec7c Vi\u1ec7t Nam x\u00e2m chi\u1ebfm Campuchia.\u00a0 V\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo \u0111u\u1ed5i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i chuy\u00ean ch\u00ednh v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau nh\u01b0 hi\u1ec7n nay, li\u1ec7u VNCS c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai kh\u00f4ng? N\u1ebfu th\u1ebf, \u0111\u00f3 l\u1ea1i th\u00eam m\u1ed9t b\u1ea5t h\u1ea1nh n\u1eefa cho d\u00e2n Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u00f4i.<\/p>\n

Nguy\u1ec5n B\u00e1 L\u1ed9c<\/span><\/h3>\n

California, 17-4-2026<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong>T\u00c0I LI\u1ec6U THAM KH\u1ea2O<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Wikipedia, International sanctions again Iran<\/li>\n
  2. European Parliament, International Sanction<\/li>\n
  3. Michael Pompeo, Secretary of State, The Importance of Sanction on Iran<\/li>\n
  4. Business says, Sanction costs Iran<\/li>\n<\/ol>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Nh\u01b0 ch\u00fang ta bi\u1ebft, trong g\u1ea7n n\u1eeda th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 qua, Iran l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia g\u00e2y ra nhi\u1ec1u hi\u1ec3m h\u1ecda nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Iran v\u1edbi ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ea7n quy\u1ec1n, m\u1ed9t th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf ch\u00e1nh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t, n\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u00e0 t\u00e0n \u00e1c. Iran c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i, v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia chuy\u00ean ch\u00ednh kh\u00e1c t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t li\u00ean minh m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7y th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c v\u00e0 \u0111e d\u1ecda nh\u1eefng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb T\u1ef1 do, D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7, Nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 Th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a C\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":1815,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_gspb_post_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[99,85],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1814","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-essay","category-current-issue"],"blocksy_meta":[],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1814","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1814"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1814\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1823,"href":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1814\/revisions\/1823"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1815"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1814"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1814"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1975mag.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1814"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}